The cybernetics of planetary security systems
The cybernetics of planetary security systems
Scenarios for the war in Ukraine
Putins invasion of Ukraine is an early warning for the Western political, economic, and military power structures. In plain sight of Western elites Putin and his mafia state apparatus has for years aquired wealth and military control of Belarus, Armenia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan.
In addition, the oligarchs, or rather kleptocrats, of the inner circle of Putin’s circle of power has amassed complete control over Russian media and the immense energy resources of the Collective Security Treaty Organization.
What could be the consequences of war be in the coming months and years?
The global humanoid mega brain
As Putins mind controlled drones wages its war against Ukraine the civilized world is scrambling for effective containment measures and economic sanctions. The current strategy target Russian banks and the usual suspects of oligarchs. The Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs know that sanctions follow.
Now they are left without access to USD, EURO and YEN.
Open-source intelligence has become mainstream in the coverage of the war. Since social media platforms are used for psychology warfare on all levels, from both sides, they reveal the inner workings of the cybernetic mega brain of the global humanoid security system. Documenting its machinery is only a matter of digital archiving.
Physical power and machinery
The details of the military power structures are documented in detail on Global Firepower. Russia has nearly 850,000 active personnel, more than three times 250,000 in Ukraine. In terms of airpower, Russia has more than 4,100 aircraft, with 772 fighters, while Ukraine only has 318 total aircraft, with just 69 fighter aircraft. Russia commands 544 attack helicopters compared to Ukraine’s 34. Although the outcome of the war is unclear, Ukraine is underpowered on military equipment.
Conventional arms aside, the fact is that Putin is using the Russian nuclear arsenal of aprox. 6000 missiles as blackmail over Ukraine.
Reinforcing the core
The goal of Putin’s mafia state could primarily be Ukrainian natural resources. Apart from being the “breadbasket” of Europa, the soil of Ukraine is loaded with natural gas, coal, iron, titanium, and other highly valuable raw materials. A usual target for power hungry autocrats.
The nodes, pumps, valves, and gauges of the global military industrial complex is the exterior of the human cybernetic security system. Attacking these fundamental anti-fragile outer structures only reinforce the core of humanity.
Capitalist planetary ethics
Anti-global social behavior will only lead to self-destruction or total annihilation of humanity, according to the ethical semantics of man. The reflex of most of the nations on earth of the Russian attack on Ukraine is therefore disgust and horror.
The civilized world knows better than “might is right”. Or do we?
Based on these highly uncertain presumptions I have developed the following bullet-point scenarios:
Super best case:
Economic sanctions cripple Putin’s mafia and Russian forces retreat
A lasting peace treaty leads to increased trade and security among the US, UK, EU, Russia, China, The Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN).
Best case:
Diplomatic communications are restored
Negotiations on Donbas and Crimea
Business as usual with continued cyber-attacks on Western infrastructure
Return to normal trade
Medium case:
Recognition on Russian parts of eastern Ukraine
Economic sanctions strengthen Russian ties to China
Lasting guerilla urban war in Ukraine’s major cities and regions
Minor civilian casualties (less than 100.000)
Extensive cyber-attacks on Ukrainian and Western infrastructure
Trade wars between US/UK/EU and Russia/China
Worst case:
Pushed into a corner Putin threaten to release radioactive waste
Accidental but non-lethal clashes between Russia and NATO
Major civilian casualties (less than 1 million)
Reversal of global trade and the return of nationalism
Use of biological weapons and tactical nuclear weapons
Super worst case:
Lethal clashes between Russia and NATO
Catastrophic civilian casualties (more than 1 million)
Escalation into the Baltics, Poland and eventually the rest of Europe
China attack Taiwan
Use of ballistic nuclear weapons
Wild cards:
Popular uprising / revolution in Russia overthrow Putin and his mafia
Military coup in Russia and Putins successor emerge
Assassination of Putin leads to Russian anarchy
China annex Russia by economic means